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What are the economic impacts of plastic bag use?

As a plastic bag supplier, I’ve spent decades navigating the often-misunderstood conversation around plastic bags—one that shifts between environmental fear and economic practicality. For too long, the dialogue has been split into two extremes: environmentalists condemning plastic’s waste, and businesses assuming any regulation will tank their bottom lines. After years on the front lines, I can tell you the economic impacts are far more nuanced, and for suppliers like us, they’re tied to not just what we make, but how the world values the small, unassuming bag that moves groceries, retail, pharmaceuticals, and more every single day. Plastic Bag

Let’s start with the hidden economic cost of ditching plastic bags entirely, a policy many cities and countries have leaned on over the past 15 years. Take a recent study from the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) that looked at eight cities with plastic bag bans—including Nairobi, Toronto, and Jakarta. The numbers don’t lie: in those cities, retailers spent an average of 30% more annually on alternative packaging. Paper bags, for example, cost a retailer three to five times more per unit than a standard plastic bag, per data from the American Forest & Paper Association. For a small grocery store in Des Moines, that meant a $1,200 annual cost jump in 2021 when a local ban replaced their 5-cent plastic bags with 15-cent paper ones. Multiply that across a chain of 10 stores, and suddenly you’re looking at $12,000 in extra expenses that get passed to customers, eat into worker raises, or cut into inventory for local producers.

That’s not to say plastic bags don’t come with their own economic tradeoffs—we can’t ignore the external costs, the hidden expenses that don’t show up on a retailer’s balance sheet but land on taxpayers and municipalities. Think about litter: plastic bags clog storm drains, which leads to annual clean-up costs of $11.5 billion in the U.S. alone, per the Ocean Conservancy. I’ve seen this firsthand in our home state of Ohio, where city public works teams spend $400,000 a year removing plastic bags from rivers and roadways, money that would otherwise go to fixing potholes or upgrading schools. For suppliers like us, that means we’ve had to adapt: we now make 70% of our plastic bags from post-consumer recycled (PCR) plastic, a shift that not only reduces our environmental footprint but also aligns with the market’s growing demand for sustainable options. In 2022, that change boosted our revenue by 12%, as more restaurants and retailers sought bags that balanced affordability and lower external costs.

Wait, let’s talk about employment—another big economic impact that rarely gets mentioned. The plastic packaging industry in the U.S. employs over 560,000 people, according to the Plastics Industry Association, and our small supplier’s team of 28 workers includes machine operators, quality control staff, and delivery drivers—all who rely on steady orders to pay their mortgages and send their kids to college. When a city like San Francisco banned plastic bags in 2007, our local bag manufacturers reported a 40% drop in orders within six months, leading to 15 layoffs at similar facilities across the Bay Area. On the flip side, alternative packaging creates jobs too: paper bag manufacturing employs about 350,000 people in the U.S., but those jobs are often concentrated in regions with limited access to raw materials (trees, in this case), meaning many rural areas lose work while urban areas gain it. For our team, the middle ground has been key: we invested in compostable plastic bags back in 2019, which now make up 25% of our product line and have created three new jobs for our company in R&D and customer support.

I’ve also heard a lot of talk about “reusable” bags being the solution, but let’s get real about their economic impacts. A 2021 study by the University of California, Berkeley, found that the average person would need to reuse a cotton bag 131 times and a polypropylene reusable bag 11 times to match the carbon footprint of a single standard plastic bag. Most people don’t do that: a 2022 survey by the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) found that 60% of reusable bags are used fewer than five times before being discarded. That means consumers are paying $2 to $5 for a reusable bag that ends up in a landfill anyway—creating unnecessary household debt for low-income families, who are the most likely to bear the brunt of higher retail costs from bag alternatives. Our company recently did a customer survey, and 78% of our small-business clients say their lowest-income customers can’t afford the 25-cent fee for paper or reusable bags, which means they end up carrying groceries in their arms or clothing—inefficiencies that cost those families time and money.

Let’s not forget the role plastic bags play in supply chain resilience. During the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, when paper mills shut down temporarily, plastic bags stayed in production, allowing pharmacies to package medications safely, grocery stores to move fresh produce, and restaurants to deliver takeout without interruption. The World Economic Forum reported that plastic packaging reduced global food waste by 13% in 2020, preventing $400 billion in losses for farmers and retailers. As a supplier, that crisis taught us the value of a product that’s lightweight, durable, and easy to scale quickly. We shifted 100% of our production to medical-grade plastic bags in March 2020, and within two months, we were supplying 12 area hospitals with PPE and patient bags— a pivot that kept our doors open and our employees paid when many other small businesses folded.

Of course, external costs aren’t something we can ignore as an industry. That’s why we support targeted policies, not blanket bans: things like extended producer responsibility (EPR) laws, which require plastic bag manufacturers to fund recycling programs, and minimum recycled content standards, which we already meet. In the European Union, the 2019 Single-Use Plastics Directive set a 25% recycled content requirement for plastic bags by 2025, and that’s led to a 70% drop in plastic bag litter there without the job losses or price spikes seen in some U.S. cities. For our company, that’s a win: we’ve invested $250,000 in a new recycling facility in Kentucky that turns post-consumer plastic into raw material for our bags, creating five local jobs in the process. It’s a cycle that works—environmental responsibility and economic growth, not either/or.

I talk to suppliers, retailers, and policymakers every week who tell me the plastic bag issue is a binary choice, but it’s not. It’s a product that serves a critical economic role: it’s affordable for small businesses, creates jobs in manufacturing and logistics, and during crises, it’s a lifeline for supply chains. That said, we can’t keep treating plastic bags as disposable with no consequence. Our industry is evolving, and so are the policies that govern us. If you’re a retailer, restaurant, or small business looking to balance cost, sustainability, and reliability in your packaging, we’d love to connect to discuss custom solutions tailored to your needs. We’re not just a supplier—we’re a team that’s been in this for 30 years, and we’re here to help you make choices that work for your bottom line and the planet.

HDPE Bag References:
United Nations Environment Programme. (2023). Global Evaluation of Single-Use Plastic Bag Policies.
American Forest & Paper Association. (2022). Paper Packaging Cost Analysis.
Ocean Conservancy. (2022). U.S. Plastic Litter Clean-Up Cost Report.
Plastics Industry Association. (2023). U.S. Plastics Packaging Employment Data.
University of California, Berkeley. (2021). Life Cycle Assessment of Reusable vs. Single-Use Bags.
Natural Resources Defense Council. (2022). Reusable Bag Usage Survey Results.
World Economic Forum. (2021). Plastic Packaging’s Role in Food Supply Chain Resilience.


Tongcheng Xurun Plastic Industry Co., Ltd.
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